CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2020-11-17

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1884.50
Smart Money Net
90,447
Total Open Interest
557,533
OI 1W Delta
+10,084
WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI EXPANDING)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2020-11-17, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1884.50. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 139,550 long contracts versus 49,103 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 90,447 contracts. Relative to the past three years of historical positioning, this reading placed institutional conviction at the 100.0% percentile (3-Year COT Index), indicating historically elevated bullish exposure.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest expanded by 10,084 contracts (557,533 total) compared to 2020-11-10. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning increased by 10,664 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by +154 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI EXPANDING) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 53.7/100 (Neutral). Gold Smart Money flow was bullish, aligned with institutional buying interest. Tactical Context: Market positioning remains balanced. Institutional activity and price flow do not show a strong directional consensus.