CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2020-12-01

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1814.10
Smart Money Net
85,543
Total Open Interest
538,042
OI 1W Delta
-17,211
WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2020-12-01, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1814.10. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 134,446 long contracts versus 48,903 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 85,543 contracts. Relative to the past three years of historical positioning, this reading placed institutional conviction at the 54.0% percentile (3-Year COT Index), indicating balanced intermediate positioning.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest contracted by 17,211 contracts (538,042 total) compared to 2020-11-24. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning increased by 195 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by -321 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 46.7/100 (Neutral). Gold Smart Money flow was bullish, aligned with institutional buying interest. Tactical Context: Market positioning remains balanced. Institutional activity and price flow do not show a strong directional consensus.