CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2021-01-19

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1839.50
Smart Money Net
78,071
Total Open Interest
541,330
OI 1W Delta
-14,208
WEAK BEARISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2021-01-19, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1839.50. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 127,161 long contracts versus 49,090 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 78,071 contracts.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest contracted by 14,208 contracts (541,330 total) compared to 2021-01-12. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning decreased by 163 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by -370 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a WEAK BEARISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 32.3/100 (Bearish). Gold Smart Money flow showed bearish distribution. Tactical Context: Funds reduced net positioning, price trend confirmed, and open interest contracted, while retail is crowded long.