CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2021-06-29

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1762.80
Smart Money Net
61,382
Total Open Interest
453,360
OI 1W Delta
-580
WEAK BEARISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI FLAT)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2021-06-29, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1762.80. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 115,438 long contracts versus 54,056 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 61,382 contracts. Relative to the past three years of historical positioning, this reading placed institutional conviction at the 36.7% percentile (3-Year COT Index), indicating balanced intermediate positioning.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest contracted by 580 contracts (453,360 total) compared to 2021-06-22. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning decreased by 1,154 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by +62 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a WEAK BEARISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI FLAT) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 42.5/100 (Neutral). Gold Smart Money flow showed bearish distribution. Tactical Context: Market positioning remains balanced. Institutional activity and price flow do not show a strong directional consensus.