CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2022-09-20

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1659.70
Smart Money Net
-36,695
Total Open Interest
469,395
OI 1W Delta
+5,721
BEARISH DIVERGENCE (OI EXPANDING)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2022-09-20, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1659.70. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 78,544 long contracts versus 115,239 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of -36,695 contracts.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest expanded by 5,721 contracts (469,395 total) compared to 2022-09-13. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning decreased by 18,358 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by -7,738 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a BEARISH DIVERGENCE (OI EXPANDING) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 21.8/100 (Very Bearish). Gold Smart Money flow diverged from USD Index speculator flow, indicating macroeconomic stress. Tactical Context: Funds reduced net positioning, price trend confirmed, and open interest expanded, while retail crowding is moderate.