CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2022-11-15

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1773.80
Smart Money Net
25,457
Total Open Interest
495,171
OI 1W Delta
+6,700
STRONG BULLISH CONFIRMATION (OI EXPANDING)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2022-11-15, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1773.80. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 95,065 long contracts versus 69,608 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 25,457 contracts. Relative to the past three years of historical positioning, this reading placed institutional conviction at the 35.8% percentile (3-Year COT Index), indicating balanced intermediate positioning.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest expanded by 6,700 contracts (495,171 total) compared to 2022-11-08. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning increased by 41,803 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by -3,339 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a STRONG BULLISH CONFIRMATION (OI EXPANDING) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 89/100 (Bullish). Gold Smart Money flow was bullish, aligned with institutional buying interest. Tactical Context: Funds added net longs, price trend confirmed, and open interest expanded, while retail crowding is moderate.