CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2024-05-28

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$2355.20
Smart Money Net
148,828
Total Open Interest
485,430
OI 1W Delta
-45,161
WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2024-05-28, COMEX Gold futures settled at $2355.20. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 174,444 long contracts versus 25,616 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 148,828 contracts. Relative to the past three years of historical positioning, this reading placed institutional conviction at the 100.0% percentile (3-Year COT Index), indicating historically elevated bullish exposure.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest contracted by 45,161 contracts (485,430 total) compared to 2024-05-21. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning increased by 305 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by +656 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 56.8/100 (Neutral). Gold Smart Money flow was bullish, aligned with institutional buying interest. Tactical Context: Market positioning remains balanced. Institutional activity and price flow do not show a strong directional consensus.