CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2022-08-09

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1794.00
Smart Money Net
40,734
Total Open Interest
453,540
OI 1W Delta
-6,109
WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2022-08-09, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1794.00. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 100,013 long contracts versus 59,279 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 40,734 contracts. Relative to the past three years of historical positioning, this reading placed institutional conviction at the 35.7% percentile (3-Year COT Index), indicating balanced intermediate positioning.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest contracted by 6,109 contracts (453,540 total) compared to 2022-08-02. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning increased by 24,879 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by -710 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a WEAK BULLISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI CONTRACTING) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 66.8/100 (Moderately Bullish). Gold Smart Money flow was bullish, aligned with institutional buying interest. Tactical Context: Funds added net longs, price trend confirmed, and open interest contracted, while retail crowding is moderate.