CFTC Gold COT Report Ledger — 2022-08-16

Weekly Positioning Metrics

Gold Close Price
$1773.20
Smart Money Net
36,373
Total Open Interest
453,960
OI 1W Delta
+420
WEAK BEARISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI FLAT)

Analysis & Institutional Flow

For the CFTC report week ending 2022-08-16, COMEX Gold futures settled at $1773.20. The CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report revealed that Managed Money (Smart Money) held 96,765 long contracts versus 60,392 short contracts, establishing a net speculative position of 36,373 contracts. Relative to the past three years of historical positioning, this reading placed institutional conviction at the 33.1% percentile (3-Year COT Index), indicating balanced intermediate positioning.

Week-over-Week Shift: Total Gold Open Interest expanded by 420 contracts (453,960 total) compared to 2022-08-09. Meanwhile, net Smart Money positioning decreased by 4,361 contracts. Concurrently, US Dollar Index (DXY) currency speculators adjusted net holdings by -676 contracts.

Macro Signal Insight & Playbook: The quantitative engine registered a WEAK BEARISH - UNCONFIRMED (OI FLAT) signal with an Institutional Bias Score of 54.4/100 (Neutral). Gold Smart Money flow showed bearish distribution. Tactical Context: Market positioning remains balanced. Institutional activity and price flow do not show a strong directional consensus.